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Taiwan: China's next target? | DW Analysis
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#China #Taiwan #CrossStraitRelations
Taiwan: China's next target? | DW Analysis
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•Sep 18, 2020
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Despite China’s increasingly aggressive behaviour both at home and abroad, Beijing’s open threat to take control of Taiwan by force is receiving comparatively little attention – leaving this flourishing liberal democracy uniquely isolated and vulnerable. The threat may be far more imminent than many imagine. According to Taiwan’s Foreign Minister Joseph Wu “the Chinese authoritarian leaders may find Taiwan as a convenient scapegoat. Therefore Taiwan needs to be doubly concerned about a possible Chinese use of force against us.”
CHAPTERS
5:09 What is Taiwan?
16:05 Why China wants Taiwan
26:25 Scenario 1: Chipping away
33:10 Scenario 2: Crimea 2.0
41:18 Scenario 3: Invasion
49:05 What now?
In this video DW's Chief International Editor Richard Walker explores the roots of the threat in depth – aided by military and strategy experts from Taiwan, China, the United States and Germany. He charts the dramatic expansion in Beijing’s navy and advanced missile arsenal that is shifting the balance of power against the U.S. in the Pacific. The video examines three possible scenarios: China gradually chipping away at Taiwan’s stability via military and hybrid means; a sudden, Crimea-style annexation of outlying islands; and a full-scale invasion. This final scenario would pose extremely dangerous for global stability. “Everything that happens in this scenario happens under the shadow of a potential nuclear war,” warns Ian Easton, author of “The China Invasion Threat.”
Adding to Taiwan’s profound vulnerability, there is growing doubt that the any country would come to its aid in the event of Chinese military action – or even have the capability to do so. “Even five years ago, the ability of the United States to come to Taiwan’s defense was greater than it is today,” warns Bonnie Glaser, one of Washington’s top experts on the region. “It has eroded over the last decade. And that is, I think, problematic.”
In the U.S., Congressman Ted Yoho of the House Foreign Affairs Committee explains his bill that would commit the U.S. to come to Taiwan’s defence, ending the longstanding “strategic ambiguity” that he and some experts see as destabilizing. But could this in itself pose greater dangers? Europe must also take the threat more seriously, argues leading German expert Janka Oertel. “We have not devoted enough energy to these kinds of scenarios. What we lack is a European conversation about what kind of player Europe in the future would like to be in these kinds of scenarios.” m concludes with a passionate plea from Joseph Wu for democracies to end Taiwan’s diplomatic isolation from global bodies like the U.N. and the World Health Organization: “It's not fair to the Taiwanese people.”
What should the democratic world do to minimize the risk of an open conflict between China and Taiwan?
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#China #Taiwan #CrossStraitRelations
17,425 Comments
augustin tio
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Frank Guo
Frank Guo
1 month ago
DW: “The world need to pay attention”. Meanwhile in EU: them sweet, sweet Chinese investment money
818
spikemansss
spikemansss
1 week ago
So this is how it feels to be treatened by Winnie the Pooh!
128
Gear para dummies
Gear para dummies
3 days ago
Thank Bill Clinton for decommissioning half of the US Navy ships.
63
Tristan Patterson
Tristan Patterson
1 month ago
Wow, I forgot what news was. Thanks.
187
A W
A W
4 months ago
Lol next target? Bruh Taiwan's been China's target ever since 1949.
1.1K
mnessenche
mnessenche
2 days ago
The free democracies of the world must unite behind Taiwan!
12
MrMikahT
MrMikahT
1 week ago
It's like watching the bully pick on the little guy, taking his launch, taunting him. And no one is doing anything to help him
94
Nhu Nguyen
Nhu Nguyen
1 month ago
No fear is as strong as our Love of Freedom
54
Kaneko Moeka
Kaneko Moeka
11 hours ago (edited)
"West Taiwan" is like a plague to the world
2
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